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Occasional LTC Policy Paper Series © 1997 Duke LTC Resources

Publicly-Mandated Long Term Care Insurance Programs: Japan Chooses a Modified German Model
Yoko Crume, Ph.D., M.S.W.

The Question
American policy makers and citizens have shown little interest in Japanese and German LTC policy developments.

Evidence suggests some useful lessons are being missed.
At a press conference during the G-7 Lyon Summit in the summer of 1996, Japanese Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto declared that Japan is ready to take the initiative to build "a sustainable social security system (jizokusuru shakai hosho seido)," with special attention to the world's rapidly aging population. Further, Hashimoto said, he is willing to freely share with others the successes and failures of the 30-year experiment with aging programs in Japan.

As this goes to press, Japan is close to adopting a publicly- mandated LTC insurance bill. This newest Japanese experimental aging program is patterned after the German LTC insurance program, a la Japanese style. The bill passed the Lower House of the Diet (i.e., Parliament) on May 22, 1997, and is expected to pass the Upper House when the House resumes its session this fall.

The on-going high profile of aging issues in Japan (especially LTC) generates a set of interesting questions:
  • Why is Japan adopting a publicly-mandated LTC insurance bill at this time?
  • Why is Japan adopting a modified German model?
  • Why are American policy makers and the public not more interested in Japanese and German LTC developments?
  • Are there some lessons in recent German and Japanese experience which may be useful in America's search for its evidence-based LTC policy?
Methodology
Long term care in Japan including the pending LTC insurance bill was studied through review of literature, interviews in Japan, and observations.
An abundance of information on LTC is available in Japan, reflecting wide ranging interest towards the issue.
In the summer of 1996, as a graduate student in social work at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (UNC-CH), the author received support from Duke University's Leadership in Aging Internship Program to visit Japan to learn about the then-emerging LTC insurance bill. The timing of this visit appeared excellent due to the imminent introduction of the bill to the Diet. (Ultimately, the bill's introduction was delayed until the spring of 1997.)

Long term care commands national attention in Japan. This attention has generated an abundance of information from wide ranging
sources, including governmental reports and publications, scholarly journal articles, newspaper articles, articles in popular periodicals, TV talk shows, and even a best-selling novel. The public also displays great interest in other nations' aging programs. In particular, Germany's publicly-mandated LTC insurance program has been reviewed extensively by Japanese policy makers and gerontologists.

During her visit to Japan, the author collected information on the LTC Insurance bill through review of the literature in both scholarly and popular articles. A contextual understanding of the bill was gained through numerous interviews with experts, practitioners in aging services, and representative elderly members of society and their caregivers. For this article, information available in both Japanese and English publications was reviewed.



Findings
Popular novels depict public's anxiety over LTC.
A Sense of Urgency Increases as The Older Population Explodes
In 1995, a very popular novel titled Kouraku (Yellow Fall) hit the bookstores all over Japan. This novel depicted the struggles of a middle-aged man and his reluctant wife in their efforts to care for the man's demented and frail parents. In many ways, the story is a testimony to the changing social conditions in Japan since publication of the epoch-making Kokotsu no Hito (Man in Euphoria) twenty-three years earlier. The latter was a huge bestseller and brought the public's attention to the plight of a daughter-in-law, the designated caregiver in the traditional Japanese family, in caring for her demented father-in-law in a society where little public support existed. However, Kouraku caught the attention of the reading public by demonstrating how little really has changed. It was easy for Japanese readers to relate the continuing difficulties of the caregivers in the story to their own life experiences and/or expectations. More than anything, the popularity of the book reflected the deepening awareness and concern of the public over LTC in Japan.

10 million Japanese will be at least 80 years old in 2020, producing the world's longest average life expectancy.
The public's concern is well founded. In 1994, a little over 14 percent of the 124 million Japanese, or one in seven, was 65 years old or older. By 2020, 25.5 percent of the Japanese, or one in four, is projected to belong to this age group. At this rate, societal aging in Japan is expected to be growing faster than in any other industrialized nation in the world, including the U.S. Of particular concern is the projected explosion of the 80-plus year old age group, the major consumer of LTC resources. By 2020, almost 10 million Japanese will be at least 80 years old.

LTC Policy Development Has Become A Priority

Japan has made good progress over the past 30 years in developing LTC policy and resources.
Traditionally, Japan has viewed care for the elderly as the family's responsibility. Thus, programs for the aged were mostly designed for the poor elderly without family support. In fact, in 1963, only one publicly-managed skilled-care nursing home for the aged existed in the entire country.

Then, in the midst of the heady economic boom of the late- 1960's and early-1970's, the Japanese government launched several ambitious programs for the aged. The nation was eager to upgrade its human services to match its economic prowess. Most notable was the nearly free Medical Care Program for the Aged, adopted nationwide in 1972. This program guaranteed nearly free medical care coverage for most people 70 years old or older. Because there was little LTC infrastructure in place at the time, the program was used liberally to care for the elderly with LTC needs in a hospital setting.

However, expanding LTC costs threatened Japan's economic health in the late 1970's.
However, as early as in the late 1970's, the Japanese government began to re-think its aging programs in response to growing concerns about LTC costs covered by health care. These expanding costs threatened the nation's economic health and, in particular, its National Health Insurance (NHI) system. New legislation and policies emerged, involving:
  • separating LTC from other health care programs for the aged,
  • developing LTC resources for the aged,
  • transferring administrative responsibilities for LTC to local governments, and
  • promoting the concept of personal and/or shared LTC responsibilities.
Implementation was achieved through:
  • passage of the Health Care for the Aged Law of 1980,
  • creation of "old people's hospitals" in 1982, and
  • development of the Gold Plan of 1990 and the New Gold Plan of 1994.
Combined, these programs resulted in:
  • over 300,000 institutional care beds available for the elderly in 1994,
  • home-based care programs with 70,000 home-based care aides, 22,000 respite care beds, and 3,500 adult day care facilities in 1993,
  • enhancement of a capitated reimbursement system and sliding scale user fees for LTC for the aged in institutional settings, and
  • introduction of a nominal co-payment in the Health Care Program for the Aged
Despite progress, Japan will still fall short of meeting the LTC needs of 2.8 million elders in year 2000.
It is fair to say that the Japanese government has made good progress in developing an LTC infrastructure over the past 30 years. Still, the current level of service falls far short of meeting the expected LTC needs of an estimated 2.8 million older people who will require some level of LTC by the year 2000. And, by the year 2010, 4 million elders are projected to require some level of LTC.

Financing LTC through A Nationwide Insurance Program Is Proposed

The 1994 German LTC insurance legislation opened a new avenue for Japanese LTC policy.
Today, the Japanese government has a clear mandate: to further expand LTC programs while containing their impact on the national economy and the health care system. It is much harder today to raise new taxes to pay for LTC needs. Therefore, Japanese government officials and LTC experts took great interest when Germany passed its LTC Insurance Law (Pflege-Versicherungsgesetz) in May, 1994. The passage of this legislation attracted a great deal of attention in Japan because:
  • The German program provides a new financing mechanism for the expansion of its LTC program and, at the same time, limits the financial burden on the government.
  • The German program is publicly managed, and with its strong public-sector orientation, is compatible with existing Japanese LTC structure.
  • Because the two countries are similar in population size, economic scale, and social insurance structure, the German program may be directly applicable to Japanese society.
Japan was strongly attracted to the German program, one of a very few publicly-mandated LTC insurance programs in the world, and spent the next two years developing its own publicly-mandated LTC insurance program, modeled after the German experience.

Publicly-Mandated LTC Insurance Program in Germany in Brief

Virtually everyone in Germany is covered by LTC insurance.

The German LTC insurance program focuses on development of home-based care.

Recipients can choose services or cash. Eighty percent of approved claimants choose cash.
Germany's LTC Insurance Act went into effect in January 1995, as the nation's fifth publicly-mandated insurance program, following those previously mandated for health, accident, pension, and unemployment. The features of the German LTC insurance program are summarized below from the published articles by Japanese LTC scholars who visited Germany.

Coverage
Participants in the publicly-mandated health care insurance programs (over 90 percent of the population) are required to enroll also in the LTC insurance program. Similarly, participants in personally-financed health care insurance programs are required to join personally-financed LTC insurance programs.

Administration
Existing health insurance funds administer the LTC insurance programs.

Funding Source
LTC services are financed by insurance premium contributions.

Premium
All enrollees are required to contribute to one or another LTC insurance fund. The premium amount, initially 1.0 percent of the enrollee's annual income, was raised to 1.7 percent in July, 1996. The funding provisions include:
  • employers contributing half of an employee's premium,
  • self-employed paying in full, and
  • pension providers paying half of pensioner's premium.
An exemption for dependents (i.e., non-working spouses and children) is available, and continuing premium payment is required for LTC service recipients.

Benefits
The current focus of the German LTC insurance program is to develop home-based care assistance in the areas of Activities of Daily Living (ADLs) and Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADLs). Depending on the types of assistance needed and hours involved, each applicant is classified into one of three classes (I, II, or III), with Class I requiring the least assistance and Class III requiring the most. (The institutional-care coverage is also available for those with extensive LTC needs.) Under the home-based care program, the service recipient can choose service or cash payment. The amount of the cash payment is set at about half the cost of the equivalent service. The family caregiver (who is defined as an individual spending more than 14 hours weekly providing care) is enrolled in the pension and accident insurance plans, with premiums paid by the LTC fund and the local government, respectively.

Between January and October 1995, 1.52 million claims were processed in Germany. Approximately 70 percent of these claims were approved. Eighty percent of the approved claimants chose cash payment rather than direct service. A major issue raised during this period was inconsistent admission criteria used by different German states. The German government is cautiously optimistic about the program's financial future.

Japan at Final Stage of LTC Insurance Bill Passage

Japan's LTC insurance program is on a fast track.
Unlike the 20-year effort in Germany to develop its LTC insurance program, Japan drafted its version of the publicly-mandated LTC insurance bill in just two years. The bill was ready for submission to the Diet for discussion and vote, by the summer of 1996. However, due to the presence of other more politically "volatile" issues, the bill did not reach the floor of the Lower House until the spring of 1997. The bill passed the Lower House on May 22, 1997, and is expected to clear the Upper House in the fall of 1997.

Japanese LTC insurance will cover people 40 years old and older.

Benefits rise with the number of ADL impairments.

The Japanese LTC insurance program will not offer cash payment.
The main features of the Japanese LTC insurance bill include:

Coverage
The insurance is designed to cover people 40 years old and older. However, those aged between 40 and 65 are eligible for benefits only if their LTC needs are "age-related (e.g., cerebral conditions caused by strokes, etc.; early-onset dementia; osteoporosis, etc.)."

Administration
Local governments administer the LTC insurance programs.

Funding Sources
The estimated cost during the year 2000, the first year of planned implementation, is 4.16 trillion yen ($36 billion, based on the currency exchange rate of $1 = 114.65 yen on 7/1/97). This amount will be financed through:
  • user co-payments (10 percent of the fixed service cost),
  • premium contributions (projected to be half of the total cost after co-payment), and
  • government contributions (the remaining costs, divided among the national, prefectural, and local governments on a 2 : 1 : 1 ratio).
Premium
All people 40 years old and older (estimated to be 65 million in 2000) will pay LTC insurance premiums. The premium amount will differ by age (i.e., the 40-65 age group vs. the over-65 age group) and income level. For the younger age group, the amount each enrollee pays will vary depending upon the types of health insurance coverage. On the average, the monthly payment in the year 2000 is projected to be 2,500 yen (about $22) per person, or 5,000 yen (about $44) per couple. Half of these amounts will be contributed by employers (if employed) or the government (if self- employed). Thus, the out-of-pocket expenditures for the younger members will be about 1,300 yen (about $11) per person, or 2,600 yen (about $23) per couple. For the older age group (i.e., 65 years old and older), the premium will differ among five categories based on each enrollee's income level and will be deducted directly from the enrollee's pension. No employer or governmental subsidy is available for the retirees or their spouses. On the average, members of the older group pay about 2,500 yen (about $22) per person or 5,000 yen (about $44) per couple per month. However, this amount can vary from 1,250 yen (about $11) to 3,750 yen (about $33) per person or 2,500 yen (about $22) to 7,500 yen (about $66) per couple per month, depending on the income level.

Benefits
Japanese LTC Insurance, according to the current bill, will cover both home-based and institutional care. In the case of home-based care, the levels of assistance are grouped into six categories based on the functional levels of ADLs. Home- based care benefits range from 60,000 yen (about $523) per month for the minimum level of assistance (e.g., up to 2 housekeeping visits per week, one nursing visit per week, up to 2 adult day-care attendance per week, and up to 2 one- week respite care stays per year) to 300,000 yen ($2,616) per month for the maximum level care (7 housekeeping/personal care visits per week, 2 nursing visits per week, 3 day-care attendance per week, and a one-week respite care stay every month). The service users are responsible for 10 percent of the fixed cost as co-payment. Unlike the German program, there is no cash payment option available for home-based care. The institutional care benefits are applicable towards stays at skilled care nursing homes (i.e., the Special Care Nursing Homes for the Aged and the Health Care Facilities for the Aged) and LTC hospitals. As with home-based care, institutional care users will be required to pay 10 percent of the cost as co-payment. Under this program, the user co-pay is estimated to be about 24,000 yen ($209) per month for a stay at a skilled-care nursing home. Additionally, the user is responsible for 23,000 yen ($200) per month for meals. Combined, out-of-pocket expenses for staying at a skilled care nursing home under the LTC insurance bill will be about 47,000 yen ($410) per month.

How Will This Program Affect Elders and Their Families?

The LTC insurance program will firmly establish older people's right to publicly-supported LTC services.

The program will benefit the middle class the most.
The pending LTC insurance program will firmly establish older people's right to publicly-supported LTC services. Further, with a new infusion of financial resources, it will boost the supply of home-based LTC services in Japan. This is good news for Japanese society, where the inadequacy of LTC preparedness has been a national preoccupation for the past few decades. In particular, the new legislation will be beneficial to middle class elders and their families. For the first time, they will become eligible for a substantial home-based care assistance program, with their cost of services contained (i.e., 10 percent of the fixed service cost). Also, the middle class user's institutional care cost may be further reduced with introduction of the uniform charge system (i.e., 10 percent of the capitated cost) in place of the sliding fee scale in use under the current system.

The benefits for low income elders are mixed. The good news is that low income elders will also benefit from the expansion of existing LTC services, with less likelihood of being on a waiting list for a long period of time. The bad news is that their payment obligation will increase under the new program. No longer will they be eligible for free placement at a skilled care nursing home while receiving the full amount of old age pension. Under the new system, all residents will be charged the uniform contribution, which will be automatically deducted from their pension. Further, all users, without respect to their income levels, are required to make co-payment.

What's Old and What's New

The new LTC insurance program is a combination of old and new concepts: public sector leadership, local initiative, cost burden sharing, and personal responsibility.
The pending LTC insurance bill points to a new direction in Japanese LTC policies. What remains constant is the public sector leadership in LTC. Under the new program, three levels of government will finance close to half of the total cost and maintain public sector leadership.

New or enhanced under the program are local initiatives and the concepts of shared burden and
personal responsibility. The program brings local initiative to the forefront by assigning responsibility for program administration to local government. Understandably, many local governments have expressed their reluctance to assume this huge responsibility. Their reluctance was one reason behind the delayed introduction of the bill to the Diet in 1996.

The new concept of shared burden is expressed through the requirement that everyone over age 40 enroll in the program. Personal responsibility will be stressed under the new program through the requirement of full premium payment for all senior enrollees and co-payment for services.

A Comparison: German Program vs. Japanese Plan

The German and Japanese plans differ in some important ways.
The similarities and differences between the German LTC insurance program and the modified Japanese LTC insurance plan can be summarized as follows:

Coverage
The German program covers the entire population, regardless of age. The Japanese plan is age-based, with benefits primarily limited to those over 65 years of age.

Focus
Both the German and the Japanese programs cover home- based and institutional care.

Benefits
The German program offers a choice of services or cash payment. The Japanese plan offers only services.

Financing
LTC services in Germany are financed by premiums through a consortium of the social insurance funds. In Japan, the combination of user co-payment, premium contribution by enrollees and their employers, and governmental funds will be used to finance LTC services.

Private Sector Participation
Both Germany and Japan are expanding private sector participation in home-based care. The development of the private sector service providers is important to the successful development of home-based care programs under these LTC insurance programs.

Japan: Implementation Challenges Ahead

At this point, it is difficult to predict how successful the program will be if implemented in the year 2000.
The new LTC insurance program in Japan, if adopted as expected, will be implemented in the year 2000, just three years from now. With such a massive new program, its future is hard to predict. Some of the major questions to be answered include:
  • Is the projected number of older people eligible for LTC services under the new program accurate?
  • Can local governments perform the eligibility assessment task with reasonable consistency, rigor, and fairness?
  • Can local governments deliver the home care services described in the program effectively?
  • How will the added cost burden (premium and co-payment) affect older people in general and those with lower income in particular?
  • What are the provisions for monitoring and evaluating implementation?
Recommendations for consideration in the United States

The notion of publicly-mandated LTC Insurance seems out-of-place in today's American political climate.

But the Japanese experiment is worth careful study.
American policy makers and gerontologists rarely, if ever, look towards Germany or Japan for policy inspirations. Possibly, suspicions about anything German (except for Mercedes, of course) persist 50 years after WWII, while Japan remains an upstart with a very different culture. At a minimum, the seemingly monolithic zeal exhibited by these two nations from time to time appears too incompatible with the American emphasis on individual freedom.

This is unfortunate. In many ways, the issue of societal aging in these two nations is similar to that of the U.S., in spite of the obvious cultural and/or social differences. Perhaps it would be worthwhile for the U.S. to give some thought to the developments in
these nations and ask:
  • Why has Germany been successful in selling what appears to be a big-government proposition to its people at this time, and why is Japan close to doing the same, and
  • Why hasn't the U.S. been able to focus on this crucial issue?
More urgent questions to ask, we recommend, are how these two countries managed to bring LTC issues to the forefront of the national conscience and political agenda; and, what might American policy makers do to accomplish the same? The Japanese experiment warrants careful study.

A Selection of Annotated Recommended Articles

Campbell, J. C. (1992). How Policies Change. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. The evolution of the Japanese policies affecting the aging population in the past 30 years is portrayed in this study of the Japanese political decision-making process. The coverage of aging policies is comprehensive, supported by the author's knowledge of Japanese politics and his familiarity with both written materials and off-the-record contextual background. In English.

Crume, Y. S. (1997). "Long Term Care in Japan" (Unpublished paper). An overview of long-term care policies and programs in Japan. In English. JARC-Japan Aging Research Center (1996). Statistical Abstracts of Aging in Japan. Tokyo: JARC. A summary presentation of current aging statistics. In English.

Maddox, G. L. (1992). "Long-term Care Policies in Comparative Perspective," Ageing and Society, no.12, pp.355-368. A comparative study of long-term care policy choices in the European Communities. Particular attention is given to the major issues regarding aging and welfare states including: balance of medical and social care for dependent elderly people, the role of housing policy, and the issue of public and private sector interaction. In English.

Miura, F. (1996). Zusetsu Korei-sha Hakusho [The Illustrated White Paper on Advanced Aged Persons]. Tokyo: Zenkoku Fukushi Kyogikai. This report profiles the living conditions of the older people in Japan. Numerous statistics from official reports as well as private polls are incorporated to provide a bird's eye view of the lives of older people in Japan. This report, revised annually, may be the most accessible and current source of information in Japan about the issues associated with aging. Also included are three scholarly papers on current issues related to aging. In Japanese.

Miyatake, G. (1997). Kaigo Hoken no Subete [All about LTC Insurance]. Tokyo: Hoken Dojin-sha. Detailed and comprehensive discussion of the Japanese LTC insurance bill. Summary of the bill is attached. In Japanese.

OECD (1992). The Reform of Health Care: A Comparative Analysis of Seven OECD Countries. Paris: Organization of Economic Co-operation and Development. Chapter 5 (pp.57-72) of this report provides the history of the current arrangement which covers about 88% of the population. Inclusion of LTC insurance is recent. Insured persons can choose among a variety of "sickness funds" which compete for subscribers and for the right to arrange for permission of care. The fund typically negotiate prospective lump sum payments to both physician, hospital, and clinical service providers. Self-government is an important principle in the German health care system. The current system has had some success in controlling health care inflation and providing equitable access to quality care for the whole population. In English.

Sae, S. (1995). Koraku [Yellow Fall]. Tokyo: Shincho-Sha. This novel depicts the struggles of a son caring for his demented and frail parents. Together with Kokotsu no Hito [Man in Euphoria], a 1972 novel about the plight of a daughter-in-law caring for her demented father-in-law, Kouraku helped to focus the public's attention on the continuing shortage of accessible LTC programs in Japan. In Japanese.

Schultz, B. (1996). "Social Protection for Dependence in Old Age: Case of Germany." Development in Health Economics and Public Policy (vol. 5). pp. 149-170. Discussion of the publicly-mandated LTC insurance in Germany. In English.

Shinjuku Fukushi Kosha (1995). Fukushi Joho Guide [Welfare Information Guidebook]. A guidebook distributed among all senior residents in Shinjuku, Tokyo, by Shinjuku Fukushi Kosha, a non-profit agency founded by the Shinjuku local government to promote home-based care programs within its jurisdiction. An excellent source of information regarding locally available aging services. In Japanese.

Tsuchida, T. (1996). "Doitsu Kaigohoken no Genjo [The Reality of German LTC Insurance]." Zusetsu Korei-sha Hakush [The Illustrated White Paper on Advanced Aged Persons]. Tokyo: Zenkoku Fukushi Kyogikai. Description and analysis of the German LTC insurance program. In Japanese.

Acknowledgments

I wish to thank the Duke Leadership in Aging Internship Program for funding my visit to Japan in 1996, with particular appreciation to Dr. George Maddox, Sandra Crawford Leak, Stuart Bratesman, and Jennifer Hoffman for their ideas, advice, review and support. Also, I thank Dr. Erdman Palmore for acting as my mentor throughout the internship program. Dr. John Campbell of the University of Michigan generously shared his expertise on aging politics in Japan. Additionally, Dr. Daisaku Maeda of Risshou University, Japan, provided valuable guidance on aging programs in Japan.

Prof. Florence Soltys of University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and Mrs. Ruth Campbell of the University of Michigan Hospital, my role models as a social work practitioner/researcher in the field of gerontology, supported me throughout this project in the way only social workers know how (i.e., "as much as needed and as little as necessary") . In Japan, numerous persons helped me increase my understanding of aging in Japan, with my parents being the source of my inspiration.

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